Friday, June 30, 2006
FX Closing Comments
Dollar Trending Down After Fed Announcement
Gasoline is on Fire!
Markets To Watch Today
Live Cattle: Traders taking profits ahead of contract expiration on the June contract and strong grain prices pressured Live Cattle contracts in yesterday's trading. June Cattle dropped 2.40 cents, closing at 83.85 cents per pound.
Energies: Gasoline prices skyrocketed to their highest prices since last summer's+ hurricane season. Several refineries are still reporting concerns about supplies in what is expected to be a very strong driving season. July Unleaded Gasoline contracts reached as high as $2.30, however settled 8.89 cents higher on the day at $2.2948 a gallon.The rally in Gasoline has pushed Crude Oil contracts higher, as well. August Crude Oil was up $1.33 a barrel, closing at $73.52.
Thursday, June 29, 2006
Bernanke's Big Day!
FX Closing Comments
Gold Traders Have Been Holding Back The Last Few Days
USD/CAD: The 1st Half
Markets To Watch Today
Copper: Copper rallied yesterday, as traders even up their positions ahead of the Federal Reserve decision on interest rates. July Copper was up 10.60 cents, closing at $3.2930 per pound.
Coffee: Coffee futures reached 3-week highs yesterday, due to some speculative fund buying as well as options-related interest due to the start of Brazil's winter. Late June to early July is the time when trees in Brazil's coffee growing region are most at risk for frost damage. July Coffee at the New York Board of Trade closed up 2.35 cents at 97.70 cents per pound. September Coffee contracts closed up 2.40 cents at 99.10 cents per pound.
Wednesday, June 28, 2006
Iced Coffee
FX Closing Comments
Traders Continue Their Fed Decision Vigil
Crude Realities: Crude Oil Futures Are Clinging To The $72 A Barrel Level
Join Us Today at 1:00PM For Platform Walkthrough Our Site!
Markets To Watch Today
Wheat: The U.S. Agriculture department reported worsening conditions in the Northern Plains. This resulted in Hard Red Spring Wheat futures contracts rallying yesterday at the Minneapolis Grain Exchange. July Wheat was up 11.25 cents per bushel, closing at $4.8175. September Wheat, which is the upcoming harvest contract, was up 9.75 cents, to close at $4.8450.
Copper: Selling pressure brought on by softer equities resulted in High Grade Copper Futures prices falling yesterday. Front month July Copper fell 13.70 cents, closing at $3.1870 per pound.
Energies: With the Fourth of July around the corner, Gasoline futures prices are poised to hit record numbers in the strongest-ever travel season. Oil analysts say that they are expecting gasoline deliveries to hit a record high of 9.721 barrels a day, a record that was set last year. The strong demand has already resulted in rising prices in Gasoline futures, which reached prices not seen since last August. July Unleaded Gasoline was up 1.97 cents, to close at $2.10 a gallon. August Crude Oil contracts closed up 12 cents, at $71.92.
Tuesday, June 27, 2006
FX Closing Comments
Shakeout Sends Copper Lower
GBP/USD: The 1st Half
Soybeans Looked Poised To Test Recent Lows
Markets To Watch Today
Energies: Traffic along the Calcasieu Ship Channel in southwestern Louisiana has all but come to a halt. Two of the four refineries that use that channel are running at reduced rates, causing a boost to Gasoline and Crude Oil futures. July Unleaded Gasoline was up 5.12 cents, to close at $2.1788 a gallon. August Crude Oil closed 93 cents higher at $71.80 a barrel.
Dollar: As investors await the Fed rate decision, the Dollar is losing ground. Despite the unexpected increase of 4.6% in U.S. sales of new homes last month, the Dollar still struggles. Analysts state the weak Dollar is not due to any fundamental shift or news, but is a result of nervous investors awaiting the Fed meeting on Thursday. In yesterday's trading, the September Dollar contract was down 35, closing at 8610.
Monday, June 26, 2006
FX Closing Comments
Cattle Moovin' higher!
DJ Nybot FCOJ Review: Futures Drop As Storm Threats Fade
points to $1.6435 Monday on the New York Board of Trade after setting 15-year
highs late last week. Traders attribute the drop to forecasts for storms that
have not materialized.
"The buying that took us into new highs was betting this low pressure center
over the Bahamas would develop" into a tropical storm, said an FCOJ broker.
"We got a little bit of disappointment for traders that the tropical
disturbance didn't amount to anything," said Mike Zarembski, analyst and
futures desk manager at XPRESSTRADE in Chicago.
July FCOJ contracts slipped 700 points to $1.6300, the low price Monday.
Zarembski said the market may fall further before it picks up again. He said
he expects another decline Tuesday and possibly later.
"We may have to drop down to $1.60 or so on September contracts before we see
some speculative buyers come in," Zarembski said.
He placed September support near term at $1.6250 and stronger support at
$1.60, with resistance at $1.6945.
July open interest fell 185 lots to 3,601 Monday, while September rose 393
lots to 19,463. Total open interest increased 247 lots to 28,410.
Will Cocoa's Trading Range Continue?
USD/JPY: 2006 Weekly Chart
CANCELLING PENETRATED ORDERS!!
So why can't we confirm that an order has definitely been cancelled? In the futures market, the floor brokers standing in the trading pits -- and even the exchanges that operate electronic trading platforms, such as Globex -- do not ordinarily confirm that an order has been cancelled. In other words, after we transmit your cancellation request to the trading pit or to the exchange’s electronic trading engine, we do not receive any messages back confirming that the cancellation attempt was successful. Thus, we've always steered clear of the word "Cancelled", which implies that the order has in fact been cancelled with certainty. And the term that we used at one time in the past, "Cancel, " is rather ambiguous and isn't particularly accurate. We feel that the phrase "CXL - Requested" most clearly describes the true status of the order -- you have requested that the order be cancelled.
Please keep in mind that even though you've attempted to cancel a working order, it's conceivable that the order might already have been executed in the marketplace. This is not uncommon, for instance, in open-outcry trading pits during periods of extreme volume or volatility. Under such circumstances, the floor broker handling your order in the trading pit may have become so busy that he or she simply hasn't had time to "endorse" the order and send the fill confirmation back to us. In this case, the Active Orders screen would show a status of "CXL - Requested" until we've received the fill confirmation, at which time the status will change to "Filled Too Late To Cancel (TLTC)." The term "TLTC" is a widely used term in the futures industry and means Too Late to Cancel. Sometimes, you can almost tell if an order you've attempted to cancel will ultimately be "Filled (TLTC)."
If you've seen the market penetrate your limit price on several occasions, there's probably a good chance that the order was executed but a confirmed fill hasn't yet been received. In this case, we here at XPRESSTRADE suggest that you do not cancel an order you feel deserves a fill. You may either send an Order Check through the XPRESSTRADE system, or call us here at 1-800-947-6228 and request that the order be checked with the floor. We will contact the floor immediately and attempt to confirm the fill on your order. This saves time for both yourself and XPRESSTRADE because it takes more time for a filling broker to find a working order than it does a potentially cancelled order. Once we receive a confirmation of a fill we will post it to your account. If we confirm that the order was not filled you can feel free to cancel the order. We hope that this will take some of the stress out of waiting for the slower pit traded markets.
Markets To Watch Today
Dollar: Investors await the Federal Reserve interest rate decision this week, expecting the move to be more hawkish than expected. Analysts say two factors will dominate this week's activity in the currency markets, including whether or not the Dollar will continue to trade within well established ranges against other major currencies, and how the weakening yen will continue, even with uncertainty of the timing of a rate increase by the Bank of Japan. The Dollar closed up 44 points, at 86.45.
Friday, June 23, 2006
Supply concerns send LME Copper higher!
FX Closing Comments
Don't Give Up On Us Baby! By Mark Loehrke
New Zealand/USD: Trade Deficit Woes
Canadian Dollar Futures Were Sharply Lower Today
Markets To Watch Today
Silver: A stronger Dollar brought down Silver prices yesterday in trading at the COMEX. July Silver dropped 21 cents, to close at $10.21 an ounce.
Crude Oil: Crude futures rose above $71 yesterday, after concerns over a blocked waterway in western Louisiana were reported. This supply route serves three oil refineries, including the 4th largest in the U.S. August Crude ended the day 51 cents higher, closing at $70.84 a barrel. July Gasoline futures were up 5.20 cents, closing at $2.1180 a gallon.
Thursday, June 22, 2006
Oh Canada!
Join Us At 1:00 PM CDT For Our Platform Walkthrough
GBP/USD Overnight Drop
Is Japan Becoming Bullish to U.S. Beef?
Markets To Watch Today
Spring Wheat: Concerns about the Spring Wheat crop health in the northern plains lifted prices at the Minneapolis Grain Exchange yesterday. The July Wheat was up 13 cents, to close at $4.59 bushel.
Live Cattle: The June Cattle prices experienced little change yesterday, on word that this weekend teams of Japanese auditors will be arriving in the U.S. to inspect beef producing plants. Japan and the U.S. Department of Agriculture have been working on agreements for months now, after a shipment of veal that contained a prohibited material, was shipped to Japan. June Live Cattle fell only 20 cents, to close at 81.75 cents per pound.
Wednesday, June 21, 2006
Sugar Pops!
FX Closing Comments
Sideways Movement in the EUR/USD
The Calm Before The Storm For O.J. Futures?
Join Us Today at 12:00 Noon CDT Today For A Platform Walkthrough
Markets To Watch Today
Crude Oil: Crude futures ended the day yesterday lower, as traders recovered from losses that were attributable on news that a top al-Qaida leader was killed yesterday in Iraq. July Crude closed down 4 cents, at $68.94 a barrel.
Currencies: Chicago Mercantile Exchange will begin to offer currency futures on the Chinese Yuan, starting in August 2006. The contract will be versus the U.S. Dollar, Euro and the Yen.
Sugar: World Sugar reached two-week highs on the New York Board of Trade yesterday, as buyers' concerns for dry weather in center-south Brazil increased. Brazil is the top cane-growing region in the world and is expected to break records this year as demand for both sugar and cane-based ethanol grows. July Sugar was up 0.36 cents per pound, to close at 15.21 cents per pound. October, which is the most active contract, was up 0.39 cents, to close at 15.58 cents per pound.
Tuesday, June 20, 2006
Wheat Futures Higher On Lower Crop Ratings
FX Closing Comments
USD/CAD: 6-Week Range
When Fundamentals And Technicals Collide
Markets To Watch Today
Energies: A deluge in the Houston area gave a modest lift in gasoline prices, although not enough to keep gasoline above $2 after hitting an intraday low of $1.9650. July Gasoline closed 4.68 cents lower at $1.9914 a gallon. Front month July Crude Oil closed down 90 cents lower, at $68.98 a barrel.
Grains: Favorable weather in the Midwest and near-term forecasts predicting good weather for crops were not enough to bring both Corn and Soybean futures relief from falling prices. Front month July Soybeans dropped 15.75 cents to $5.8450 per bushel, and July Corn fell 5.75 cents to close at $2.2975 per bushel.
Copper: A lack of consumer buying interest and a stronger Dollar pressured prices for Copper contracts yesterday. July Copper dropped 13.90 cents to close at $3.1525 a pound.
Monday, June 19, 2006
Shakin' Bacon!
CBOT To Offer "Side by Side" Trading of Ag Futures in August
USD/JPY: A Close - Up
Lower Prices Fail To Wake Up Coffee Bulls
Markets To Watch Today
Friday, June 16, 2006
FX Closing Comments
USD/CHF: Unmoved By Rate Move
Bulls Go Hog Wild!
Markets To Watch Today
Gold: Stronger crude oil prices and a soft dollar price brought on a rally in most commodities yesterday. The August Gold contract was able to benefit from this rally, up $3.80 an ounce, closing at $570.30 an ounce.
U.S. Dollar: Mixed U.S. economic data and comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on inflation, lower the dollar in trading yesterday. Stronger than expected U.S. employment and regional industrial data were not enough to keep the dollar down, as it was able to recoup most of what it had lost earlier in the session. Front month Septemeber Dollar closed at $85.64 down 9.00.
Thursday, June 15, 2006
Sweet! A Sugar Rally!
FX Closing Comments
Natural Gas Is Starting To Heat Up
Join Us Today At 1PM CDT For Our Platform Walkthrough
GBP/JPY: New 5-Year Highs
Markets To Watch Today!
Copper: Again this metal too was affected by Tuesday's selloff, as traders bought back previously sold positions. July Copper was up 4.55 cents to close at $3.0560 a pound on Wednesday.
Natural Gas: Traders worried about a recent forecast of heat and early hurricane activity pushed Natural Gas futures prices up yesterday. July Natural Gas contracts closed up 6.9% yesterday, settling at $6.590 per million British thermal units. Today's weekly storage report should be the next catalyst for market movement, as analysts and traders expect to see an increase in inventories.
Wednesday, June 14, 2006
FX Closing Comments
Trading In The Rain
New Zealand/USD: Range-Bound
Could the days of $70+ Oil be nearing an end?
Markets To Watch Today
Lean Hogs: As meat packers bid on tight supplies, traders bought back previously sold positions in Lean Hogs yesterday. June Lean Hogs closed up 1.57 cents, at 75.10 cents a pound.
Metals: Metals prices across the board dropped yesterday on selling pressure brought on by multi-decade highs hit earlier this spring, in turn affecting most of the commodities markets. Metals prices will continue to drop as global investors downgrade their expectations on global growth in response to recent interest hikes both in Europe and the U.S. Front month June Gold was down $44.30, closing at $562.50 an ounce. August Gold lost $44.50 to close at $566.80 an ounce. Front month July Silver dropped 37%, closing at $9.625 and July Copper fell 25.5%, closing at $3.0105 per pound
Tuesday, June 13, 2006
Massive metal meltdown!
FX Closing Comments
EUR/USD: Just Above Support
Fed Still On Course To Raise Interest Rates
Markets To Watch Today
Grains: Most of the grains, including corn and soybean futures experienced a rise in prices yesterday on forecasts of hot and dry conditions in the grain growing regions of the Midwest over the next couple of weeks. Front month, July, corn rose 5.5 cents to close at $2.475 per bushel and December corn, which represents fall harvest, rose 5.75 cents, closing at $2.735. July Soybeans rose 14.25 cents to close at $6 a bushel and November soybeans, which represents the next crop, rose 13.5 cents, closing at $6.29
Lumber: Hurricane warnings resulted in rising prices in lumber yesterday, imposing the daily price limit. Front month July gained $10 to close at $306.80 per 1,000 board feet.
Monday, June 12, 2006
Sugar Tests Recent Lows
FX Closing Comments
USD/CAD: At The Low-End Of The Range
Consolidation Ahead For Lumber?
Markets To Watch Today
Friday, June 09, 2006
Bullish USDA Report Sends Wheat Lower?
FX Closing Comments
The Key Theme Today Is Rising Rates
Markets To Watch Today
Hawkish" Comments Send Bonds Higher
Thursday, June 08, 2006
FX Closing Comments
Join Us At 1PM CDT For Platform Walkthrough
FX Markets Jumping This Morning On News of Capture of Terrorist
Energy Bear Market?
Markets To Watch Today
Lean Hogs: Strong cash Hog prices combined with higher pork cutout prices sent Lean Hog futures sharply higher. June Lean Hogs closed at $71.42, up $1.12
Energies: It was a down day across the energy complex yesterday, as rising petroleum inventories and hopes for a potential deal with Iran over its nuclear program sent prices sharply lower. July Crude Oil closed at 70.82, down 1.68 and July Unleaded Gasoline closed at 2.1240, down 0.0548.
Wednesday, June 07, 2006
Cocoa Holds Major Support
FX Closing Comments
Join Us Today At 12:00 PM CDT For Our Platform Walkthrough
USD/CHF: Month-Long Range
Fundamentals Be Damned!
Markets To Watch Today
Copper: Copper prices were affected by the Fed's hawkish commentary, trading lower for the session. July Copper is trading at 3.44, dwon 4.95 cents this morning.
Crude Oil: Crude Oil gave back earlier gains on positive remarks out of Iran, following the proposed incentives presented by the UN. The US government had previously warned of possible supply disruptions, due to the Hurricane season that is upon us. July Crude is trading at $71.20, down $1.30 for the session.
Tuesday, June 06, 2006
Coffee Futures Fail To Warm Up Bulls
Fed Chairman's Comments Tarnish Silver
EUR/AUD: New High Today
Markets To Watch Today
Corn: Corn prices fell, as forecasts of better precipitation for developing crops in the Midwest were released to today. July Corn closed at 251.75, down another 1.75 in overnight trading. December Corn, representing the fall harvest, closed at 277.25, down another 1.50 on the eCBOT.
Coffee: Coffee futures fell yesterday, as bulls in the market had anticipate a frost to do some damage to some of Brazil's coffee-growing regions over the weekend. The area escaped unharmed, pushing the market lower. July Coffee closed at 98.45, down 2.8 cents for the session.
Monday, June 05, 2006
Volatility Controlling Copper Futures
The CHF/JPY: Approaching Highs
Markets To Watch Today
Copper: Copper is falling, as labor disputes become resolved and supplies look to be capable of keeping up with growing global demand. As a rest, the metals are trading higher and Copper is the lone loser at this time. August Copper is trading at $3.55, down 1.95 cents this morning.
Lean Hog: Lean Hog positions as of May 30, show non-commercial spreads are at 47,056 contracts, as they prepare for the Goldman roll that will officially begin on June 7 and end June 14. The roll consists of non-commercial traders "rolling" some of their July long positions into the August contract, in association with the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index. July Lean Hogs closed Friday's session at 68.90, while August is trading at 67.55.
Will Crude Oil Make A Run At New All-Time Highs?
Friday, June 02, 2006
Is A Rally Brewing In Coffee?
FX Closing Comments
Markets To Watch Today
Crude Oil: Crude Oil is following the same pattern, as losses in yesterday's trading are being recouped this morning. Agreement between UN members on a package to be presented to Iran was credited for yesterday's decline. July Crude Oil is trading at $71.90, up $1.56 this morning.
Gold: Gold is not absent from the above trend. After trading lower on comments released by the Federal Reserve hinted at a continued increase in interest rates. June Gold is trading at $635.00, up $7.40 this morning.
EUR/USD: Keeping Sideways?
Lackluster Jobs Report Sends Bond Prices Higher
Thursday, June 01, 2006
Losing Their Luster?
FX market update by Mark Smyth XPRESSTRADE analyst: The FX markets had that "calm before the storm" feel today, as traders looked ahead to tomorrow's non-farm payroll number. Most expectations center around a figure of 150,000 for May. As this is arguably the most important monthly figure, the figure is considered to carry more weight than normal this time, given the current undecided and "data dependent" mood at the FOMC. Although the fed funds futures market is leaning towards another .25% move in June, a particularly strong or weak number tomorrow could easily skew the equation. After June's NFP, the next major figure will be May's core consumer price figure, which is due on June 14th.
The Australian Dollar was the biggest mover today among the majors in a relatively calm session. In the spot market overnight, the Aussie fell under technical trading pressure and dipped below the 200-day moving average; a directional move which was not countered at the U.S. open. The lack of recovery in the June futures contract had analysts looking for possible explanations. One reason put forward for the Aussie's sluggishness today is the slightly elevated sense that the U.S. Fed will raise rates again in June, which would provide the greenback with additional yield support. Others site a soft metals market today, which is often strongly correlated with the Australian Dollar. These factors, along with some technical trading in the spot market, combined to pressure the Aussie during the U.S. session. The June futures contract gapped down 68 ticks to open at .7450, reaching a low of .7436, before closing the day at .7471.
FX Closing Comments
Join Us Today At 1:00 PM CDT For Our Platform Walkthrough
USD/JPY: Pushing Past Short-Term Resistance
Volatility Continues To Control Stock Index Futures
Markets To Watch Today
Copper: Copper fell yesterday, as month-end long liquidations paired with a general weakness in the metals. The sell-off continued this morning, triggering sell stops and forcing a stoppage in trade, as the limit once again has been reached. July Copper is trading at 3.4240, limit down 20 cents this morning.
CBOT: The CBOT has announced an increase in fees for trade clearing and other specific transactions, to become effective July 1st. The announcement comes as the exchange prepares to introduce side-by-side electronic trading in the grains. The penny increase makes the clearing fee for all contracts 6 cents.